I really don't like to lecture my peers, but since this article about MP Geert Wilders is currently being quoted all over the world, I have to make mention of some of the errors inside it. AP journalist Anthony Deutsch writes the following:
But a recent poll suggested his anti-immigrant message was reverberating through the electorate, and he would win 24 seats if elections were held today -- up from 19 seats before Van Gogh's murder.
There are quite a few things wrong with this statement.
First, there isn't just one important political poll in the Netherlands, there are several. One of them is the TNS Nipo poll, which indeed gave Mr. Wilders 24 seats at the time the journalist wrote the article. (Today, a new poll by Maurice de Hond, the Dutch 'Mr. Zogby' was released, which puts the number at 26). Another important poll however, is the one done by Inter/View. It only gives Mr. Wilders 10 seats. The discrepancy between these polls has been present for several weeks now (all three of them are repeated on a weekly basis). Under those circumstances, using one of them whilst not mentioning the others is at the very least misleading.
Second, even according to the optimistic De Hond and TNS NIPO polls, Mr. Geert Wilders didn't get 19 seats before Van Gogh's murder. Instead, he got 12 seats in the De Hond poll at October 30 (sometimes dated November 1), and 9 seats in the TNS NIPO poll which the AP were using.
Third, only after the Van Gogh murder, on November 6, does De Hond put Wilders at 18 seats. At November 8, six days after the murder of Van Gogh, TNS NIPO finally comes up with the figure of 19 seats. The field work for this survey was done from November 4 until November 7, as can also be read here.
There are more inaccuracies in the article. The 'latest video' that the journalist is referring to, was already discovered in early October. Furthermore, the video is not 'in Dutch with Arabic music in the background'; the death threat is actually sung in Arabic. The few Dutch words that get transposed over the footage are hardly representative of the entire movie, which can be viewed here.